2024/03/06

A look at life in metro Phoenix in the 1980s

Original Article

A look at life in metro Phoenix in the 1980s

A shot of downtown Phoenix on May 4, 1989.
A shot of downtown Phoenix on May 4, 1989.
The Republic
Brian Burch, 8, gets a bird's eye view of Mesa and Tempe from the balloon of Marvin Kerby in May 1980.
Brian Burch, 8, gets a bird's eye view of Mesa and Tempe from the balloon of Marvin Kerby in May 1980.
The Republic
Big Surf water park in Tempe in 1980.
Big Surf water park in Tempe in 1980.
Tempe History Museum
Interstate 10 stack interchange under construction in Phoenix in 1980.
Interstate 10 stack interchange under construction in Phoenix in 1980.
The Republic
Former ASU football head coach Frank Kush riding a bike in the Great Arizona Bicycle Ride in 1980.
Former ASU football head coach Frank Kush riding a bike in the Great Arizona Bicycle Ride in 1980.
The Republic
A Phoenix police Hughes 500 series picks up a Phoenix fire crew on South Mountain in April 1980.
A Phoenix police Hughes 500 series picks up a Phoenix fire crew on South Mountain in April 1980.
The Republic
John Driggs standing in front of the Rosson House in downtown Phoenix in April 1980.
John Driggs standing in front of the Rosson House in downtown Phoenix in April 1980.
The Republic
A clean-room technician  at the Chandler Intel manufacturing plant that opened in 1980. In the three-plus decades since Intel's arrival, the high-tech industry has become a huge economic driver for Chandler. Intel has expanded many times.
A clean-room technician at the Chandler Intel manufacturing plant that opened in 1980. In the three-plus decades since Intel's arrival, the high-tech industry has become a huge economic driver for Chandler. Intel has expanded many times.
Chandler History Museum

Todays Thought

If people knew how hard I worked to get my mastery, it wouldn't seem so wonderful after all. 

-Michelangelo Buonarroti, sculptor, painter, architect, and poet (6 Mar 1475-1564)

2024/03/05

David Sedaris on Why His First Children's Book Doesn't Come with a Messa...


Funniest goddamn interview

Change the argument

I was reviewing our video streaming services (Hulu, Netflix, etc) to see if there was an opportunity to trim some monthly fees. A few years back we moved from an expensive satellite service to an only streaming solution to save money. I'm never satisfied so I'm always looking for great deals in addition to keeping track of when promos end and cancelling those services. It's a fun game.

We also have a honest to goodness good old-fashioned antenna up in the attic that gives us about 100 channels. 

Today I had a random thought - what if we just stopped watching so much TV? Then the cost falls to zero. 

Todays Thought

For 50 million years our biggest problems were too few calories, too little information. For about 50 years our biggest problem has been too many calories, too much information. We have to adjust, and I believe we will really fast. I also believe it will be wicked ugly while we're adjusting. 

-Penn Jillette, magician, actor, musician, inventor, television presenter, and author (b. 5 Mar 1955)

2024/03/04

Black box auditing is fine

 Black box auditing is fine


Black box auditing is fine


Last week I read this paper entitled “Black-Box Access is Insufficient for Rigorous AI Audits” with some excitement, since I do black box algorithmic auditing at my company and I was looking forward to knowing what more I could do with even more access. Also, it was written by a bunch of smart people from MIT, Harvard, Northeastern, Stanford, and so on.

But I’m not very impressed! Actually I think this paper is a weird result of what happens when academics write about stuff that mostly happens outside of academia. In particular, and I’ll skip a lot of things, I want to focus on their section entitled “Limitations of Black Box Audits,” because of the five bullet points they include, they are all wrong. I’ll just go through them one by one:

1. Black-box methods are not well suited to develop a generalizable understanding.

Their argument here is that you don’t understand weird inputs that could lead to strange behavior. They argue it causes the black box auditor to rely on heuristics. But that’s not at all true! When I audit algorithms, either with private companies who provide the data, or follow my instructions, or with regulators or enforcement agencies that insist on the data from the companies deploying algorithms, we always use all of the historical data that we can get our hands on. In other words, we do not rely on heuristics or synthetic inputs, we instead see how actual people were actually treated by these systems. This is a much more thorough black box audit, and it doesn’t require “understanding,” which I think is a misleading and unattainable goal; even the coders don’t really “understand” algorithms (just ask them).

2. Black-box access prevents system components from being studied separately.

Yes, that’s true! And no, that’s not a flaw! Audits are not supposed to identify where things go wrong, they are supposed to decide whether something is going wrong. From the perspective of an auditor, if certain stakeholder groups (say, black patients in the case of Optum) are being treated badly, then that’s the point of the audit. The question of what exactly went wrong and when is the problem of the folks who set out to fix the problem, but they are not auditors.

3. Black-box evaluations can produce misleading results.

The example they give here is that an algorithm can pass statistical tests of non-discrimination but still have underlying flaws in reasoning. But I’d argue, as an auditor, we don’t actually care what the underlying reasoning looks like as long as it *consistently* passes the discrimination tests! Of course, it’s likely that there should be a battery of tests rather than just one. I’m happy to talk endlessly about how to design such a battery.

4. Black-box explanation methods are often unreliable.

Yes, true, but that’s because explanations of algorithms are almost always nonsense. I’d suggest you stop trying to understand “how an algorithm thinks” and start testing whether an algorithm is causing meaningful harm to stakeholders.

5. Black-box evaluations offer limited insights to help address failures.

True, but again, not a problem! If you want to be an engineer paid to fix problems, don’t call yourself an auditor. Indeed there would be a conflict of interest if that were the same job, because you’d be incentivized to find problems to fix, or to only find fixable problems, etcetera.

If one of the authors of this paper wants to discuss this with me, I’d be more than happy to. We could even have a public conversation, since I live in Cambridge!

2024/03/01

Todays Thought

We should not be simply fighting evil in the name of good, but struggling against the certainties of people who claim always to know where good and evil are to be found. 

-Tzvetan Todorov, philosopher (1 Mar 1939-2017)